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05.05.2025 05:45 PM
XAU/USD. 分析與預測
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黃金持續展現韌性,攀升至關鍵心理水平3300美元以上。由於俄羅斯與烏克蘭長期衝突引發的地緣政治緊張局勢,以及中東地區敵對情勢升溫,黃金作為避險資產的需求受到支持。此外,對美國總統唐納·特朗普關稅政策的不確定性也影響著投資者情緒,促進了貴金屬的需求。

儘管市場最初對美國月度就業報告的較好表現作出反應,但在經濟不確定性加劇的情況下,這種反應很快消退。對美聯儲降息的預期亦促使美元走弱,進一步支撐黃金價格。然而,金市多頭在未來即將召開的為期兩天的FOMC會議前仍保持謹慎。

從技術面看,黃金在3200美元以下展現了一些穩定性,並在3300美元以上表現良好。如果價格突破3330美元,可能會測試3350美元的供應區。成功突破該區域將為下一個3370美元的阻力位開闢道路,並有可能達到3400美元的整數水平。

另一方面,如果價格跌破3230美元區域,可能在3200美元水平找到支撐。若果斷跌破該水平,則價格可能加速下滑至目前與4小時圖表上的200期簡單移動平均線對齊的3170美元水平。進一步的賣壓可能引發重新的看跌動能。

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然而,只要日線圖上的振盪指標仍處於正值區域,黃金的最小阻力路徑仍將向上。在4小時圖上,這一點也受到正面信號的支撐。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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