empty
30.05.2025 05:37 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold is declining below the $3300 level today. U.S. PCE data met expectations. A shift in trade flows is helping the U.S. dollar regain positive momentum. This is also undermining demand for gold, although a combination of factors is holding traders back from opening aggressive bearish positions, thus limiting deeper losses.

This image is no longer relevant

The recent decision by the U.S. Federal Appellate Court to suspend a separate Trade Court ruling and reinstate tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump has added a layer of uncertainty to the markets, influencing investor sentiment. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical risks related to the prolonged conflict between Russia and Ukraine and tensions in the Middle East continue to support the precious metal.

Furthermore, expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates further are limiting the dollar's strength, providing a tailwind for the XAU/USD pair. Thus, despite the current consolidation, gold remains in focus among traders who are awaiting further signals from macroeconomic data.

From a technical perspective, the overnight failure at the $3325 resistance and the subsequent drop below the key $3300 level favor the XAU/USD bears. Moreover, oscillators on the 4-hour chart have resumed a negative bias, supporting further intraday downside movement. Therefore, continued weakness toward the $3280 support, and further toward the next support at $3250, looks quite likely. A decisive break below the latter would pave the way for deeper losses, exposing the round $3200 level.

On the other hand, the $3325 retracement level stands as the immediate resistance before the $3350 supply zone. Sustained strength beyond this zone would negate the negative outlook and could trigger a short-covering rally, allowing the price to return to the $3400 psychological level. Momentum could extend even higher from there.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Traders Didn't Believe the Japanese Regulator

The Japanese yen lost some ground against the US dollar after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted today that the central bank may continue to slow the pace

Jakub Novak 11:16 2025-06-03 UTC+2

Market startles monster

Over time, we get used to everything — the good and the bad. Investors have finally come to terms with the fact that they will have to build businesses under

Marek Petkovich 10:44 2025-06-03 UTC+2

Deteriorating U.S. Economic Conditions Bring Fed Rate Cuts Closer (Potential for Continued Decline in #USDX and EUR/JPY Pair)

Although the market has largely stopped reacting to incoming economic data—especially from the U.S.—and is more focused on the geopolitical and economic moves of Donald Trump, who is steering

Pati Gani 09:52 2025-06-03 UTC+2

Everything Is Still Working Against the U.S. Dollar

Despite U.S. President Donald Trump's efforts to secure more trade agreements, the U.S. dollar continues to decline sharply against several other assets as negotiations with China and Europe falter

Jakub Novak 09:09 2025-06-03 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 3? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are only two macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday. Although the first report looks significant on its own and the second one is directly related to the U.S. labor market

Paolo Greco 06:53 2025-06-03 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 3: Trump Deals Another Slap to the Dollar

The GBP/USD currency pair surged upward again on Monday. Just as the British pound had started a correction and even consolidated below the moving average line, Trump once again announced

Paolo Greco 04:38 2025-06-03 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 3: A New Round of Escalation in the Global Trade War

As we predicted, the EUR/USD currency pair collapsed on Monday. However, the collapse was not of the pair but rather of the U.S. dollar. Recall that over the weekend

Paolo Greco 04:35 2025-06-03 UTC+2

Trump: Tariffs Cannot Be Canceled

Donald Trump is prepared to fight for "his tariffs" until the end—or until victory. It's important to remember that court battles are nothing new for the current U.S. president. During

Chin Zhao 00:38 2025-06-03 UTC+2

EUR/USD. The Dollar Falls Out of Favor Again

The euro-dollar pair is once again attempting to breach the 1.14 figure. This is far from the first attempt by EUR/USD buyers over the past two months

Irina Manzenko 00:38 2025-06-03 UTC+2

The Euro Nears the Finish Line

Everything eventually comes to an end—both good and bad. One can debate endlessly whether the European Central Bank's deposit rate cut is positive or negative for the euro. However

Marek Petkovich 00:38 2025-06-03 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.